RE: Placing18 Dec 2020 10:26
No takers for a placing, the co is in hock to the bondholders.
The math is simple.
$87m in the bank ; total $135m to drill new wells to increase production by 2022 , but by how much? And no clear guidance on how long current 12k bpd might continue without intervention.
With the bonds trading at c. 30c on the dollar, bondholders are also in a tight spot. But they hold first call on the company, so it is hard to see any value in the equity at this point.
The co have told you, plain as day, "It should be noted that there is a risk of dilution to existing shareholders from a possible restructuring and/or partial equitisation of the convertible bonds. Furthermore, if no agreement can be reached with the Company's stakeholders on additional investment, further development activity at Lancaster might not be possible. In such a scenario, Lancaster could continue to produce from existing wells before reaching the economic limit, the timing of which would depend on oil prices, actual production levels delivered and the level of cost savings achievable. The field may then be decommissioned, with potentially limited or no value returned to shareholders. "