RE: AI view4 Feb 2026 10:18
Gov targets are 8Gw of LDES by 2030 ( 8hr + storage) from circa 2.3 now and then 16gw by 2050. That is 13gw more by 2050 but let's call it 10 gw more as some is planned.
Ldes is split into short end solutions like flow batteries giving up to 12h storage and then long end multi day pumped hydro.
There is not alot offering 12hr to 7w where we are. The question is does the gov see a role for our 0.3 gw project in this window. We'll I would think yes, 0.3 gw is a maybe 2pct of the 16gw required, you would want something in this 10hr plus window to 7 days which we provide
So how do they build capacity in this 12hr to 7 day timeframe. Do we do it all with pumped hydro. 5 to 8 yr build times. Capex intensity maybe 2 to 3x ours. Not modular has to be big projects.
Or do they find it in their hearts to substitute a tiny bit of pumped hydro for our low capex, 2yr build, modular solution
Cap and floor mechanisms guarantee returns on capex so clearly we are a cheaper guarantee. Also 0.3GW is a tiny amount relative to system demand.
Seems logical they approve.