O&G companies30 Sep 2024 10:30
bit off topic fellas but don't see a lot happening here for a week or two. without a counter bid i think the dog**** offer will pass. so thought to revive the discussion around other o&g companies.
i mentioned the other week one of my more speculative stocks was txp. some good news over there this morning. worth reading the background and what they appear to have gotten their arms around. sp is still very depressed by historical standards. infrastructure being completed in the next couple of weeks alongside hook up of 2 x new wells. flow rates still unknown but expected to be in line with estimates given previous wells. they also have another 2 x wells to be drilled this year. should exit year with +12kboepd. they can drill gas wells for circa usd$5m that pay back very quickly. hook up also very quick due to infrastructure that has almost been completed. significant resource with significant upside. and they have gas prices locked in at usd$2. worth a look.
on discussion of hbr v sqz. my bet was on hbr. bugger as i got in and out for about 4% gain (circa £4.5k profit). sqz went up by 20% in the same time. definitely still in the hbr camp now sqz has re-rated. also think hbr will likely move listing to the us if labor f@ck uk o&g any more than they have already. linda cook, hbr ceo, has been very critical of the government and she now has the means and reasoning to move. when comparing to us listed peers hbr would more than double in value. sqz don't have the geographical diversification, scale or reasoning to make the shift. so don't have the ability to double their sp in a short period of time. this could change of course if they made a decent non-uk acquisition. funnily enough i think i3e would be great for their portfolio. easy to swallow. gives them a canadian listing. diversification (on-shore o&g), in a safe jurisdiction (except for government stupidity). huge resources, low risk and decline, which they can exploit with their cash pile. a cash and share offer would also be jumped at by uk investors.
only other oily is ptal, although the risk profile there makes me nervous. it's less about the transportation, and more about an accident in the amazon, which could be caused by the river levels. i've been in and out of it for a while. ticks all other boxes. sp also hammered recently. divi yield if held at recent levels is circa 13%. only other i'd consider with a uk listing. aimho gla