RE: Non-Binding $12.5M Project Financing15 Aug 2025 11:47
Stas / Reserved, I suggest you email Thomas - he does come back to you. Quite a breath of fresh air compared to some of the AIM CEO's out there.
In the meantime, read the questions / answers here, and watch the last interview he gave where he answered investor questions. Pretty much all of them are mine, which goes to show how few people have their eyes on this stock. So you know the reason for the delay is regulatory and timing / scheduling for the clean up equipment. They will start 'imminently', which we all know as sometime soon, but who knows how soon. He mentioned they will RNS important milestones with the clean ups and well testing.
Based on everything he has said to date, and what has just been released today, I think they already knows that it's commercial. He has said many times they already know they are dealign with a 'world-class' reservoir, we just don't know how good it is. The main concern that I have is the clean up will damage the integrity of the well or something like that. I don't know whether this sort of clean up ops comes with very little risk, or a lot. But the key thing is he has already secured a big chunk of the finance required for the build out, from a major local bank, who also happens to be a major shareholder. That sort of thing rarely happens. And it shows hwo he is trying to reduce any dilution, probably because he is such a major shareholder.
So you know he answered one of my questions in the video interview on 'what he would hope to see for well flow rates and He%'. In his answer, he referenced the last flow rate for JS1, which was +820mcf under natural flow for 2 days (with well head pressure still climbing when shut in). Based on this, he said with the deepening of the well and He reservoir extending to twice the initial size, he would hope to see 1mmcf or higher at 5% He or higher. Remember, there is over 70% CO2, which is worth circa $25mcf, so about half the value of the Helium.
Some numbers - If they hit 1mmcf @ 5% He ($500mcf) and 70% CO2 ($25mcf) for 330 days, you get $8,250,000 He + $5,775,000 CO2. Or $14m per well. This is over 3x HEX payback per well. Obviously the size of the footprint is important, but he continually references the most prolific He system in US history at Pinta Dome, and the numbers they are seeing at Topaz are greater.
All going according to plan with 1mmcf @ 5% and CO2 @ 70%, I can see us matching HEX mcap or better. HEX is a great company that I stupidly missed. Hopefully, we can do at least as well as them, given it will be a much faster payback here if they get those numbers. Thomas is also all over publicity, as I'm sure you can see. He just needs some big numbers and we're off to the races. Today's news is a huge step towards production that people haven't seen, because no-one is watching (for now). AIMHO GLA