RE: Tullow up ^^ +55% YTD26 Feb 2026 07:32
"You are aware the high oil prices will only remain if USA attacks Iran and the gulf of Hormuz is threatened. Other than that, there is abundant oil around so the price will soon sink back to 65 or lower"
Oil isn't high, but yes the recent spike is purely based on an expectation of prolonged conflict with Iran. The same spike action happened last year to $80, then collapsed very quickly (-10% intraday I recall) as the conflict cooled.
If the US pulls back, or conducts only limited strikes lasting a few days, then oil will likely sank back to low-60s.