RE: Predoctave Tixt30 Jul 2020 07:55
Good Moaning. I'm fairly jaded as far as goldbugs go...it's just another religion that's let me down. But! The current set up for gold and silver is awesome. Gold is just starting to get some momo, just barely appearing on retail radars, is still a non-topic for the institutions...yet it's around about all time highs. And clearly looking to charge higher. Mid-tier producers are cheaper than in 2016, while they're absolutely brrrrrrr'ing profits, esp. in non-US numbers. Lower down, I can pay $100m for a gold mine that will produce $100m of free cash annually for a decade! Objective bargains in the small-to-mids. It just needs a year or two of out-performance and the conformists (i.e. guys running 98+% of the money out there) will start jumping over each other to follow the leader.
Now silver, I'm broadly against it, except for maybe 4 out of every 100 years, give or take. We may be entering one of those two year patches where it kicks ass. I surely see silver getting to $50 before I see gold getting to $4000! And looking at the stocks, a lot of the goldies are currently in clover, which is somewhat priced in. Whereas most of the silvers have only just stopped scraping their balls on the tarmac! If silver moved to $50 it would barely make the news, but it would 10x their margins, and ???x10 their market caps.
The macro situation is defined by the absurd covid overreaction. Left/Right no matter...we're all Robert Mugabe now.