RE: COPLs NAV Increased By Broker Hannam&Partners24 Aug 2023 11:27
Cash left of just $2.5m caused “Going Concern” in FEB re inability to service debt. So we add $14.8m (Less astronomical costs $2m ?) via BH and GGS came in not more than $4.3m. As of 30 June we had $5.2m Cash and almost certainly to be below $5m as due to Oil production at 1000bopd ish due to GGS Work. I’m going to say we have $4.8m Cash left as of mid Aug. Certainly not more.
So we know that in 6 months at 1000bopd we loose between $4 and $6m. Senior Debt serviced.
I await to see what happens to Cash figure at 1750 or 2000bopd / Because if it is maintained around $5m by year end / then there is a clear thread on what production level Copl become Cash generative.
It was a little pointer from the Big man in recent RNS. I certainly took it that way anyway. Oil price up from $70/$73 H1 to be factored in.
I expect it won’t be as simple as that as many variables but it can give a good guide.