RE: Lots of hints everywhere2 Feb 2021 16:11
well SIPPmeister ... as the Electrolyte plan is nowhere near completion and indeed the published plan does not suggest commissioning until 2022, all Bushveld could contribute to a wider Eskom deal is vanadium to be processed into electrolyte elsewhere.
I have been of the opinion for some time that the early part of Eskom was more about VFRB market momentum and our bit would be small - lots of spin off areas as distributed generation and storage is spun off is where the money is at.
So I agree - Eskom will be great in a wider sense, but I don't expect a massive re-rate on it ... of course I would be delighted if this was not the case, but fundamentally, Bushveld is going to do getting on for 5,000 mtv this year and heading for 6,400 mtv in 2022/23.
We sell Vanadium .... the element put into Electrolyte (I think BBN argued earlier possibly 1,900 mtv) will get a value add and then there is the growing lease revenue when that starts to flow.
Big re-rate is on selling the expansion story into multiple revenue streams on the back of both growing vanadium pricing and greater hedge into electrolyte sales.. and a future and growing dividend
So I rather agree with St0ski