RE: Strictly where are you?28 Sep 2022 17:19
I think the risk of a "collapse" in house prices would be much more likely if it were combined with raging unemployment. (I am old enough to remember mortgage rates and economic/employment situations personally and GB wide from my first mg in 1977 to the present-albeit with a sometimes fuzzy recall!)
The media as usual is content to give us half the story and then to set it in the scariest of contexts.
For the 300,000 or so coming out of a fix over the next 3 months it will of course be a shock.The majority of these will have been in a 5 year fix at historically low rates. So assuming:
1. They have had a good record as regards meeting their repayments
2. Their salary/ies will have increased over the 5 year period-so affordability criteria should have improved-unless they have had a whale of a consumption time enjoying low int rates
3.The property will most likely have gone up in value so their LTV ratio will be moving in their favour
Then what's to stop them (assuming they cannot really afford the new repayments on their maybe 25 year term) to obtain a new deal over a 30 year term. )
OK that would increase the payments over that extra 5 year period but most mortgagors build in an over-payment option which could be on the cards when things get back to some sense of normality.
Question:
Do I sell BDEV today and miss on the div and buy back cheaper tomorrow or hold for the 25.7 p div?
Answers on a post card please!