RE: Bought More22 May 2020 16:59
Time for some harsh truths:
Technical Viabilty - VLS have not produced any jet fuel at any scale from household waste, yet they are now building a full size plant. No bank or institution will lend on such a project, based on a bunch of mathematical models and no physical testing.
VLS have no Project Developer Experience - this will be a huge hindrance, come project financing.
VLS have not designed this waste to fuel process, their contractor has. VLS only 'own' about 20% of the total IP for the project.
Financial Health - VLS has no means to put any of their own money into developing this project and will be diluted out to such an extent, that if and when they manage to raise project finance, that their revenues will be minuscule.
Inability to on-board investors - VLS have real trouble attracting investors. Ive read in previous reports that they a 'preparing to on-board investors', but none have ever materialised. Why is that?
Shell and BA put pocket change into this - Why are they not cutting big cheques? The few million each (pre COVID) is laughable for such big companies. Why are they not putting more in if this is such a dead cert??
Again, its great that PP has been achieved, but the reality is that this is a very smal part of the overall scope and arguably, the easiest.
In my opinion, VLS are now in the Valley of Death - the have a paper project, but need millions more to complete it. Unfortunately, COVID has come at a terrible time for them and I cannot see the making much more progres, medium term.