Naive Hope16 Sep 2013 18:20
Not sure that is the case, combined with what the poster said earlier (old shareholders selling out), I posted the following on ADVFN a few days back:
"We can keep saying they sold out when it's way too cheap and that is true if the company is credible. However, if they have been holding for a number of years (3+) then they may simply be seeking to transfer their capital. Institutions can't hold on to a stock forever just because every time they look, it is cheap. They are looking to make returns and are sometimes forced into taking what is available on the market.
Clearly Naibu has not appreciated in value since listing so yes, they could hold on for longer, but in their boots they may well feel like they are holding a dud stock, Of course the reason for it being dud is a lack of awareness, skepticism and it still being slightly illiquid. With every large sale of shares that liquidity improves and if the dividend is paid, that skepticism fades. The awareness is generally increased over time.
Following the fall, the best thing the company can do is put out an excellent set of numbers on Monday (last year the numbers were released on 13/09/12).
The issue of skepticism is also self-reinforcing. If this wasn't trading at a PE of 1 then investors would not be so skeptical and start looking for flaws. The adviser is arguably to blame because they pitched the IPO price too low to start off with. The other issue is that investors keep seeing the share price decline and this increases concerns, especially when the fundamentals are cheap. I guarantee that if this was up 100% since the IPO, without any major pullbacks, then the skepticism would be mentioned far less and it would be easier for investors to see this as a legit company and not look for flaws.
For comparison look at Camkids (LSE:CAMK). They have risen since their ipo, have had decent share price movement, still only trade on a low PE, but there are no discussions about it being a fraud. It's a fair bit down to investor psychology."