Lennie27 Oct 2013 20:18
Sure. Here is a brief list of ideas:
Positives:
- polymetal shares rise - but how does this help shareholders? Many were calling for a special dividend in light of the cash balance but the directors seem extremely reluctant
- Decent looking gold assets that clearly have some intrinsic value, proved by the sale
- Significant cash balance
- resource update proves 337k resource, but "Considerable portions of the resource are less than 2.0 m wide and much of this mineralisation will be uneconomic. Given that the mineralised domains are quite narrow, open pit mining would comprise a significant volume of waste and a high stripping ratio is anticipated."
- market cap is low - how much further can it fall in any circumstances?
Negatives:
- market cap has been trading at lss than cash for an awful long time - why should that change?
- Polymetal shares fall further (possible in light of mining sector)
- Timothy McCuthcheon left as CEO for no given reason
- Very poor news flow and illiquid shares means that it's very difficult for investors to become interested. Also, there is a lack of trust with Russian companies
- winter approaching means operations will cease and no clear upside catalysts
- contingent provisions of $14m of liabilities on the balance sheet
Appreciate that is slightly one-sided, as has been my experience with Ovoca, but ultimately there is unlikely to be any rush to get in, especially since the winter season is approaching. Therefore, until there is any sort of catalyst, the share price will remain at these seemingly lowly levels. The catalyst would genuinely need to be value realisation for shareholders, and not for the company as per the last asset sale. Doing an above average amount of research here is necessary! Feasibly, they could turn the ship around, but with so much other choice in the market, it's not the best opportunity in my opinion.
Sorry it's so brief, bit busy this evening,
El1te