Qunatified Value11 Nov 2020 11:54
why am i reiterating this ? people talk in qualatitive terms such as "high grade" " good results" without specifying what numerical ranges they match. When the results come, then they'll be numbers, grades, grammes of gold per tonnes of ore. If you don't have a preconception of the impact of an anticipated result on SP then you render yourself vulnerable to MM games. I have a nasty suspicion that some brokers MM may manipulate the SP down immediately on the results before new volume investors come into the stock in order to get shares to sell to their favoured clients. call my cynical
Copied from previous
I believe that the company can be valued as the sum of its projects as they have little interdependence now it is likely we would be able to raise conventional finance for exploration of Greenland etc.
I'm going through each project in turn, but as Clogau is the most fluid I have revisited my estimate by making some comparison of future revenue streams with that of an already functioning British gold mine in an environmentally sensitve area , operated by Scotgold. Given that much can go wrong between substantially complete assay results then I would look at the immediate impact on share price being about 50% of the 12 month impact on the share price.
To be clear this only represents the existing mine reopening, not new gold mines in Dolgellau Gold Belt nor any other project
grade in Au g / T impact on SP at assay result + 18 months ... assume 50% of that impact upon results in p
5 Au g / T 0.67p
10 Au g / T 1.35p
15 Au g / T 2.02p
20 Au g / T 2.69p
25 Au g / T 3.38p
30 Au g / T 4.05p
35 Au g / T 4.72p
40 Au g / T 5.4p
50 Au g / T 6.75p
0700 RNS watch every day for me, though I'm out of Internet range for a good chunk of the 'in the zone' period.
By my reckoning 11 Nov is the earliest credible date that the anticipated results could be released, the latest credible is imo Christmas. So we are... In the zone!
I speculate that jeweller Clogau, is the one ALBAs in talks with They plan a bit of a advertising campaign coming up to Christmas. Could this be coordinated as a big media splash, together with that footage recently filmed?