RE: Very strong bid, looks like someone wants them16 Apr 2026 17:58
15p is a £2bn MCap, based on the current 13.7bn share currently in issue, to say nothing of options, further dilution, etc. It's a lot. It's just about possible eventually, but it's certainly the bull case if *everything* goes well - gold price, further discoveries and mines, debt paid off, etc. Every penny on the SP is now 137m quid in MCap - it adds up quickly!
IMO, it's rarely helpful to talk of targets so much greater than what we can actually see on the horizon - it raises hopes among the naive and the undisciplined, encourages excessive risk-taking and gambling behaviour, and pretty often leads to disappointment when those targets are not hit, even if the SP does actually do very well, by most realistic metrics. If we're sitting at 5-10p, that's the time to start talking about what it could take to get from there to 15p, but from the current 1.4p, it's sufficiently far in the future of infinite possibilities than it's not really helpful IMHO.
It also ignores the fact that a more realistic target, say 4-6p (£550m-£820m MCap) is still a heck of a good result from here! This is the real world, and while 10-baggers exist, they are rare, and most folks don't have the combination of qualities (foresight, patience, etc, etc, etc) needed to capitalise on them. You should really be delighted if you can double your money on an investment, rather than disappointed it wasn't more.
I am currently considering my own targets and timeline for my KEFI investment. It has already made me quite a lot of money. The question is, what now? I do my best, in my own small way, to emulate the acknowledged greats of the investing world - find a good oppotunity, and then sit on your hands. Invest in the business, not the share price, etc. As such, while I may trade/de-risk small portions of my holding over time, I'm inclined to keep the majority until full TK production at least, and then see what the situation is with regard to the gold price, further discoveries, global conflicts, etc, before deciding on whether to dispose of my holding entirely, or stick with it. I don't really have a concrete SP target that far out, never mind any further, but if the business does well, the SP should follow suit.