RE: Another article, this time The Independent.22 Mar 2026 13:47
Well, putting my own preferences aside, in many ways I agree Lee - that's how Trump got in - the Democrats were asleep at their posts, and frankly haven't shown much real leadership since either. But that's not been a good thing I think, even for the US, in terms of the friends and allies he's alienated along the way, and certainly not for the rest of the world, for many reasons including economic (tariffs) and environmental, and I think at least some Trump voters are starting to realise that.
Coming back to the UK, our political landscape has more variety - both the left and the right have more than one option, so it'll come down to who can get a bigger share of the pie. Anyone even vaguely left of centre isn't going to vote Reform. So they'll vote for one of the left of centre parties - Labour, Lib Dem, Greens, etc. You may laugh at and even mock the likes of the Greens, but they beat Reform in Manchester. Yes, I know - all sorts of reasons why that result probably won't be replicated nation-wide, but still, it's an interesting result. Tactical voting will probably play a huge role, with individual constituency results being decided by who voters *don't* want, rather than who they do. And Reform do provoke strong feelings, one way or another...
When it comes to a national election, as opposed to local ones, both Labour and Tories are likely to get a bigger slice of the pie than many expect simply because they're the tried-and-tested safe options. Better the Devil you know, etc. The question is, will the left-of-center vote be split more than the right-of-centre vote. It's not straight-forward to try to predict. Reform may well get the biggest single bloc, but will end up having to do a deal with someone in order to actually try and assemble a working government, and who will want to do a deal with them?
Honestly, I think it's probably going to be a mess no matter what, and I'm getting a bit tired of political messes generally. It's so depressing all this beating on each other all the time. We could achive incredible things as a race, if we just stopped fighting for a moment. As it is, it feel more like the last days of the Roman Empire. Greed, corruption, inequality, in-fighting, blaming "the other" for all the problems, etc, etc. A story as old as time, but it would be so nice to move on from all that.