Planning and fundraising12 Sep 2017 15:58
This isn't complicated or contentious.
Planning: when I was at the gold pour event at the mine in August last year, one of the Park planners was there who told me his primary reason for attending was to understand more about the proposed dry stack tailings system. So it was already being discussed more than a year ago. Clearly there have been extensive pre-planning discussions around that, which is the major change to the previous planning application.
It's therefore highly unlikely that Scotgold have submitted an application which they aren't confident will be well received by the planners. Gordon Watson knows the project intimately as the head of planning during the previous 2010 and 2011 planning applications. Of course nothing is certain and planning committees can, and do, reject the recommendations of officers. But it would be very surprising if the planners didn't recommend approval given the lower-impact scheme that is proposed, and the extent of pre-application consultation on that scheme.
Fundraising: a fundraising is what the past 6 years of graft have been leading towards. It's what we all want to see. For anyone to imply that achieving project finance for Cononish would be somehow a *bad thing* is hilarious. It's equally hilarious to suggest that if we do, that means anyone who's been making dire predictions of fundraisings for month after month has somehow been *proved right* because that's what they meant all along.
It's 2 years since the last rights issue. That's a mining minnow in pre-production avoiding tapping shareholders for 2 years in very challenging circumstances, which I think is rather impressive. Yes there have been a couple of placings/dilution and the £1m NLR loan along the way, but it could have been a whole lot worse.
If project finance is forthcoming, nobody knows whether there'll be *heavy* dilution or not. There's likely to be *some* dilution, but there could very well be a significant debt element to the funding mix. We don't know.
In the meantime the likelihood of *some* dilution, and the lack of certainty that project finance will be achieved at all, seem to me to be fully priced in.
So, we wait. We can argue while we wait if we choose, but I'm not sure at this point there's much to argue about. Presumably we'll get an annual report soon (last year's was out on 15/9) though whether it'll include anything particularly exciting is another matter.