RE: Cyclical Stock8 Nov 2024 09:42
Since when did anyone imagine that the price of shares behaved in a logical manner? I have been an investor on and off for aound 40 years and observed some truly whacky behaviour from time to time over the years. The latest example was during Boris Johnson's covid panic when vast numbers of shares were turned into cash as if the end of the world was approaching, not that a pile of cash would be of any use in such a scenario. These things happen because many human beings are incapable of logical thought when in a state of fear as any psychiatrist will tell you and often even in shall we say "normal mode", many of us still cannot think properly unless they have had some training. In just over six months holders of these shares will receive 15.4 pence almost certainly and that can be annualised to a yield of around 14%. This means that the current SP is illogically very low but it is not moving for the reasons I have outlined above.