RE: Snap up rivals!21 Mar 2026 23:20
How this could all end in failure.
The 2030 target of 10GW is increasingly seen as a "stretch goal" that can easily be missed.
The Hydrogen Energy Association (HEA) warns that without the imminent Hydrogen Strategy refresh, the UK risks a "negative spiral" of project cancellations.
Some of the major players like Scottish Power, have already exited the subsidy agreements due to delays and rising costs. The actual cost of producing green hydrogen (estimated at £241/MWh in recent rounds) has been significantly higher than the government's initial £110/MWh estimate, requiring more taxpayer funding than originally planned and where will this be coming from.
The next six months are considered the "tipping point." If the government releases the HAR2 funding and the Strategy Refresh by June 2026, the chance of hitting 2030 targets remains potentially viable; if not, the £20 billion in private capital is highly likely to "flee" to the US or EU markets.
So if the UK misses the June deadline then hydrogen as a future answer to our energy needs is dust.