RE: Brics21 Jun 2023 10:56
Much truth in what you say, toffers, but actually the real problem was the Blair period - major handed over a balanced budget, Blair then went on a buying binge to buy votes, and once a major political party is willing to do that, it is almost impossible for any gvmt to reverse course, since the electorate will always vote for the biggest handouts. Labour handed the Tories a bankrupt economy, remember the cute treasury note that they'd spent all the money? You're correct that fixed rates will take time to feed through into the equation with mortgages, but the reality.id that falling house prices make people feel poorer. So they tighten their belts. The smart ones then put that money towards paying down their mortgage faster so the rate hike bites less when their loan reverts to market rates. But credit card and consumer loan rates are normally floating, so the pain there is much more immediate and effective. The really effective part is when it starts biting in the commercial world - industry quickly adapts, reduces expenditure, halts all discretionary spending, lays off employees, freezes hiring. This accelerates the process of defending the overheated economy. We would be in a much better situation if we had not provided covid support to people, not shut down so much, and just let businesses go bankrupt. The capitalist model is reasonably efficient at allocating capital, even in down periods. It is external meddling which really screws things up, as Reagan said the nine scariest words in the English language, "I'm from the gvmt and I'm here to help!"