Clarity...14 Mar 2026 21:22
I think some are getting lost in focusing somewhat on the recent share price slump caused by ongoing events vs anything specific to Greatland - and losing sight of where we are heading.
This is not aided by the usual suspects emerging out of the shadows as they love to do on any SP retrace to seed Fear, Uncertainty and Doubt - three dark forces can never be fully eradicated any more than you can eradicate negative traits in humanity.
Where there is light there is darkness as they say and where there is darkness there is light - as they also say :-)
The ASX100 and GDX inclusion represent a heck of a lot more than just a potential SP spike in the next week or two after all?
This is about GGP being anointed and emerging onto the big boy territory on a global level - there are far more important mid to long term aspects to consider than focusing on trying to predict where the SP might fall in a week or so if you intend to continue the GGP journey for a while longer yet.
A reminder below of how we might benefit over the longer term from making the grade :-))
I was looking into long term benefits of inclusion in ASX100 and GDX using AI to study past trends etc. about a fortnight ago and tends to reflect what Jerry and TMT are saying in some regards - so some may find the following useful, the link is to a summary table.
https://ibb.co/Y4mXBKV7
1. The Case for ASX 100 (The "Stability" Play)
- Inclusion in the ASX 100 is often the more significant structural change.
- The "Mandate" Effect: Many large Australian superannuation funds are restricted from owning stocks outside the top 100 or 200. Moving into the ASX 100 opens the door to billions of dollars in "sticky" capital that isn't just looking for a quick trade.
- Long-Term Floor: This creates a permanent base of shareholders, which can protect the share price during market downturns.
2. The Case for GDX (The "Beta" Play)
- The GDX (VanEck Gold Miners ETF) is the global benchmark for the sector.
- Global Liquidity: The GDX has significantly more Assets Under Management (AUM) than most domestic Australian index funds. When global investors want exposure to gold, they buy the GDX.
- Magnified Moves: Because GDX is a sector-specific ETF, it will drive the share price much harder during a gold rally. If gold goes up 10%, the GDX often goes up 20%+, dragging GGP along with it.
The Verdict
- For "Peace of Mind": ASX 100 is more impactful. It cements Greatland as a legitimate, permanent fixture of the Australian economy, attracting conservative, long-term institutional wealth.
- For "Price Appreciation": GDX is likely to provide more "rocket fuel." It connects GGP's share price directly to the global gold trade, ensuring that when the sector moves, GGP is at the forefront of global fund flows.
Key takeaway:
-The ASX 100 builds the foundation, while the GDX builds the skyscraper. Most investors view the ASX 100 as the "de-risking" event and the GDX as the "growth-a