RE: Book Build and early indicators of positive outcome.14 Jun 2025 10:56
CP - you were very negative about ROI since the deal so the current SP has gone against your predictions in truth, it has against my expectations early this year too as didn't think we'd manage this level of rerate without already being listed on ASX.
Bookbuilds tend to be completed at a discount more usually than not in my experience - but so what of we do end up with a slight discount from near the current SP after a decent rise in to the Bookbuild? Conversely, the recent rise might be a good sign that demand is high for the shares leading to a premium, hard to predict really IMO but if we end up at a slight discount from these current levels and the bookbuild and listing has aided the recent SP rise, we've still ended up better off as such going into the ASX listing with a higher mCap.
It's what the SP is after a few months on ASX, especially after some of the funds are able to buy in in Q3 given the timing of our entry on ASX which will be a more accurate reflection of how effective the strategy to make it the primary listing was. Hard to argue that we've been aided by some very good tailwinds on top of first class execution by the team into a very good rerate this year since the deal.
I'm sticking to waiting till the end of year before deciding my next steps after all of these key catalysts have played out more and we have more Telfer and Hav data to consider - and to date I'd say it's played out pretty well :-))