RE: Valuation & SP28 Nov 2021 07:24
POLB will take 12-18 months to monetise an asset, per the various POLB presentations. And that is IF the "shot on goal" goes into the back of the net.
Based on this, POLB wont have monetised any of the assets by the time the lock in ends. The only way, imo, that will prevent ORPH holders heading for the exit is that they make positive progress over the next 4 months and start buying up intriguing medicines/vaccines (the "shots on goal"). If not, and the SP remains beneath IPO, i see a lot of ORPH holders seeing POLB as a bird in hand being worth more than two in the bush.
Some ORPH holders will have tens of thousands of pounds in POLB, an investment they never "chose". I think that said investors will have no issue deciding to cash in.
So, from a POLB perspective, it's over to CF and JS to convince perhaps 50% of the shareholders not to cash their chips.
His suggestion of a 1 billion dollar market cap within a year is a little wide of the mark as things stand, 6 months in. This may have been a tongue in cheek comment by CF, but i doubt he expects the reality to be less than IPO at the end of the lock in. A NASDAQ application (suggested by CF to occur within a year) would encourage a few to stick around, i am sure