RE: 13% Drop28 Oct 2021 19:07
Another big move down on HBR today, the run way to end of big oil get close everyday, vultures circling BP did I read today, wanting it split up.? As we reach peak oil, I guess HBR decommissioning costs get more and more important to it's share price.
I think I read to today that one one the utility providers, or was it VOD, want their entire fleet off combustion in a little over 5 years. That will go quicker than we think. I've been playing oil through REA: equity, prefs, and debt, they've all had a spectacular rally this year. In fact, I bought some more of the Sterling bonds recently @ par. I also bought some ENQ ORB debt last year, I feel less comfortable about that, but it's not a big position. I did own PMO1 and I know that decommission costs were a big issue for them. My assumptions on HBR's final range, 12-15p (old money) is based on those concerns, but it might all different now. I could be totally wrong. Overall, I think I'm only interested in oil assets if they can be bought with blood pouring out of every orifice, I need a distressed price to offset the tide of history. I'd be interested if you have an up to date view on the long term decommissioning costs etc.