Member Info for denby69

Date: Wednesday 15 Nov 2017 LONDON (ShareCast) - (ShareCast News) - Card Factory: Investec upgrades to Buy with a target price of 320p.

Key Fundamentals Year Ending Revenue (�m) Pre-tax (�m) EPS P/E PEG EPS Grth. Div Yield 31-Jan-15 353.30 42.70 16.30p 16.9 n/a n/a 6.80p 2.5% 31-Jan-16 381.60 83.70 19.10p 18.3 1.1 +17% 8.50p 2.4% 31-Jan-17 398.20 82.80 19.80p 12.6 3.2 +4% 9.10p 3.6%

value for Card Factory is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value. We use analyst's estimates of cash flows going forward 5 years. See our documentation to learn about this calculation. 5 year cash flow forecast 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Levered FCF (GBP, Millions) �58.30 �67.70 �73.20 �78.05 �83.22 Source Analyst x1 Analyst x2 Analyst x2 Extrapolated @ (6.63%) Extrapolated @ (6.63%) Present Value Discounted (@ 8.3%) �53.83 �57.72 �57.63 �56.74 �55.86 Present value of next 5 years cash flows: �282 Terminal Value Terminal Value = FCF2022 � (1 + g) � (Discount Rate � g) Terminal Value = �83 � (1 + 1.49%) � (8.3% � 1.49%) Terminal value based on the Perpetuity Method where growth (g) = 1.49%: �1,241 Present value of terminal value: �833 Equity Value Equity Value (Total value) = Present value of next 5 years cash flows + terminal value �1,115 = �282 + �833 Value = Total value / Shares Outstanding (�1,115 / 341) Discount to Share Price Value per share: �3.26 taken from Simply Wall Street

dfslicker. This is now hit the bottom stop shorting It and get in and buy only way is up now

NOTE card would be cheaper than Clinton's cards. I SHOULD have said card is still cheaper than, Clinton's cards. which are shutting shops While card are still expanding. and here is another thought that they might think about finishing the special Div AND increasing the normal div a bit. I have gone in again and happy to be in this share. :-)

CARD the company is still making money and i quote. earnings for the year to the end of January will be between �93 million and �95 million. This compares with last year's �98.5 million and a consensus forecast of �97.3 million. I THINK that when they cut the special Div by half, the share will still return around 8%, Which is not bad. They should raise their prices by 5% which would be better for the balance sheet and as i said this will be back up at around 250--270. AND NOTE card would be cheaper than Clinton's cards.

dfslicker, Do NOT agree, agree with what you are saying but all retail are under the same pressure. The share as i have said before with the special div cut to say 8 pence total return on this share will be approx 8% which is not bad . If CARD PUT up there prices say 5% they would still be cheaper than Clinton by a mile.

In again happy :-)

The current share price is absurd. If the 15p special dividend is paid next year, the yield is currently around 11.5%. If the special dividend is halved, the yield is still around 8%. The share price has to go back to more sensible levels as the year goes on. SMT1 THE SPECIAL DIV WILL BE CUT AND THE SHARE WILL GENERATE ABOUT 8% THIS SHARE SHOULD BE AROUND 240---270 THIS IS STUPID PRICES WELL OVER SOLD 2.7% shorted

go on then dflicker Try and de ramp the share lol CARD will make 89 million profit this year and If the increase their prices by 10% their profit margin will be far grater so I do not have any problem holding this share. CARD is well over sold and has a good div :-)

your funny 180 lol this will never go that low I should hedge your short as you will need it.

this is being manipulated it should be 240---250

THAT CLL out of the way IRV will get more work now :-)

dfslicker thank you, This will not have a strong recovery was looking for a final drop to 210 another buying opportunity then when all the noise has died down a slow rise to 240--- 270, I will be happy with that. :-)

setting a nice base now at 216 back at 250 by end of next week sugest you close your short soon dfslicker

So you prove you're a shorter

This is a gift at this price still expanding adn still making a profit 94 million :-) OK it is under pressure of minimum wage but so are a lot of other companies But they are still the cheapest on the market even another price rise on cards, they will still be cheap. I am in at 215 and 222, this will be 250 in no time at all. Happy to be in this company

dfslicker , What happened to your so called little trade that you had at 288 which you were happy with. O you have sold them lol . you should shot Moore often with your out look on shares I think your a SHORTER mmm

LOL WELL i will be in again to morrow

here we go pick some more up still waiting for 222 :-)