just be carefull13 Oct 2017 15:57
Analysts perceive further tail risks of PFG not being able to meet its October 2019 debt obligation, breaching of debt covenants and the potential impact of IFRS9 accounting.
If fined by the FCA, they estimate Vanquis can only pay around �200m from existing liquidity headroom and retained earnings if the October 2017 and 2019 bonds are to be repaid while maintaining a regulatory capital ratio for Vanquis above 20%.
These assumptions are not baked into a base case, where earnings per share forecasts have been cut 32% for 2018 and 17% for 2019, but analysts are worried they "could have a meaningful impact on earnings and cost of funding".