RE: Moving straight on24 Mar 2025 11:12
Actually wyndrum, whilst I agree with your basic premise, the reality is that currently there is Zero income and yet the MC is circa Β£60 million; if your valuation methodology were entirely true, He1 would currently be priced at Zero. In reality the pricing here is far more about future expectations than the "current" position and is always likely to be - it is only mature businesses with predictable income streams that conform to the multiple of income valuation methodology that you refer to.
Moreover the income of $2m a year does not include the CO2 revenues of $1m and none of the future 9 well drill programme. Assuming that those future drills adhere to the same production expectations that would increase annual revenues of circa $9 in total. So even accepting your somewhat questionable valuation model that would see a forward earnings valuation of circa $90m @ 10 x income. So somewhat in excess of the current market valuation of $80m and which would therefor see anything that we get from Rukwa as upside.....