Tulu Kapi Project Economics4 Nov 2024 17:35
From the August 24 presentation, Tulu Kapi has an NPV of $729m at construction start when using a Gold proce of $2,300
Using todays gold price at $2,750 gives a NPV of circa $1.02bn, assume 85% retained and 1.3 USD/GBP and the NPV of Tulu Kapi is circa 11p per share at construction start (i.e. Now)
Using the same metrics as above the NPV is about 13.5p per share at Production start, 16p with a Gold price of $3,000
With a current share price of 0.63p, this extreme value gap is going to close very quickly upon financial sign off.
Personally, my intent is to hold into production and dividends, but am expecting a Major to make an approach for Tulu Kapi next year.
....And then there's Saudi....
Don't be surprised at where this re-rates too :)