RE: Trying to understand a RI?11 Sep 2020 14:36
Rox..
You maths is fine.As you surmise what the company spends the money on is key.This affects sentiment, ie how the market views the company post -rights. Rights funds can be used for a variety of purposes eg to buy another company, either a competitor , a supplier , a customer or a related business, in that case the SP will depend upon whether the market believes the purchase is a good one (accretive in the jargon), if they do SP rise, if not......
The money can go to retiring debt , when interest rates are high clearing outstanding debts with equity is seen as positive to cash flow hence good, SP rises.
In this case the cash is clearly as a bridge to subsequent solvency, IAG is losing money and needs to survive until it can return to profit, as the alternative would be bankruptcy, then good.....unless you fear that it is merely delaying the inevitable then bad....
IMV IAG is hoping/planning to cut costs dramatically (around £2.5 bill pa is staffing, around the £3 bill is fuel,)total is ~£10bn pa, but much of that is traffic dependent so they will be reckoning that this funding is sufficient to see them through to a return to profitability.If they are wrong they are stuffed, shareholders will NOT cough up a second time in the near future.For my part I think this funding is enough (unless Covid is still around in 18 months time) and other airlines will go bust before then, notably the big Americans, Norwegian and Virgin.
There will be a shakeout in the airline industry and I think IAG will survive it. but then WTFDIK