RE: Thoughts?19 May 2024 11:41
Hi fromage, at its simplest level you currently hold shares in two companies, which represent mining assets dotted around the world. What is being proposed by BHP is the merger of some of those assets into one company with various others being "spun off". So if you sit tight you will end up holding more shares in a much enlarged BHP and shares in one or more other independent companies which have been created.
Theoretically, the value of your holdings will STILL represent the same set of assets as before, as, in effect, your BHP shares have paid your AAL shares for the transfer of those assets.
BHP will argue that economies of scale, reduction of duplication " back office" functions, and better management ..will, over time, earn you more as a shareholder in a bigger better BHP than you would earn between holdings in both companies.
In reality it isn't always true that big takeovers lead to greater profits, there are examples where it works and those where it doesn't.
One thing which is true is that today, your assets are worth more than they were a few weeks ago. the takeover bid has done more to raise the AAL price than to reduce the BHP price.
It would be possible for you to take those profits by selling AAL now, and maybe even cashing in your BHP shares which MIGHT fall if the deal is agreed or after it is completed.
As ever the choices are yours (And quite tricky!!!!)
Hope this has helped