Side note8 Jul 2025 10:07
As well as the detail of the ongoing rights issue , I thought it worthwhile commenting on the implicit significance of the offer price and the subsequent SP reaction.
First point is to comment on the sources of the cash to be used to buy, £55 mill of own cash, £65 mill drawdown of borrowings and £140 mill RI. That division shows us that the company is pretty confident that the deal will be a big winner, for a company valued at £450 mill to splash more than 50% 0f its market cap on an acquisition is brave, or confident.
Second thing to note is the amount expected from the shareholders , again at almost 30% ,its a pretty big percentage of the MC, clearly the big holders were consulted and signed up.
Third, the discount of the Rights to the SP is about 40% , thats quite steep and no doubt it's the discount that the underwriters pressed for, as others have said the underwriters are on the hook for any rights not taken up.
Overall though, it seems to me that there is a strong confidence that the deal will be signifcantly accretive and todays SP holding very well suggests that the market agrees. ther are no guarantees in investing but my view is that holders will be well rewarded for holding, taking up the rights and sitting on the shares for some time . I intend to do so , but as is my usual approach will post here if/when my view changes.