RE: News30 Nov 2025 11:38
From Charles Archer’s article on 13th November re valuation implications:
‘My previous valuation assumed helium-only economics, but warrants updating based on industry comparables:
Near-term (Q1 2026 - 4-5 wells producing):
* $20 million annual revenue run rate
* At 5x revenue multiple (standard for producing helium companies): $100 million market cap (£70 million)
* Current market cap: £50 million
* Implied upside to fair value circa 40% (targeting 40p from current 28-29p)
Medium-term (2027-2028 - 20 wells producing, helium-only):
* $80 million annual revenue
* At 5-6x revenue multiple: $400-480 million market cap (£280-340 million)
* Represents 5-7x return from current levels
Bull case (hydrogen confirmed and commercial):
* Add $4 million annual hydrogen revenue per 20-well scenario (conservative)
* Total revenue potential: $84 million annually
* Apply 7-8x multiple (justified by dual-resource, zero-carbon profile, strategic value)
* Market cap: $590-670 million (£410-470m)
* Represents 8-9x return from current levels over 3-4 years
And if a major acquires Helix once both helium and hydrogen are proven, expect a significant premium to intrinsic value —potentially pushing valuations.’
Always an excellent read. GLA. CJ