IC View12 Oct 2017 13:22
IC renews its 'BUY' rating on MARS
A lackluster trading update following a wet summer was the latest gloomy news to come from Marston's (MARS) earlier this week. But, while the company will undeniably suffer from any Brexit-related economic slowdown, can this really justify an equity valuation on a par with early 2010, based on price-to-earnings, price-to-sales and dividend yield? Back in 2010, as the market struggled back from the worst sell-off in the past 30 years, the economic pain was extremely real and there were doubts about the very viability of the financial system.
We think the market may have gotten ahead of itself in pricing-in woe. Indeed, for its part, Marston's is looking to make £5m of cost savings and remain disciplined on pricing to keep margins up next year, while also slightly scaling back planned openings (15 pubs and six lodges from 20 and 10). That's hardly preparing for Armageddon.
IC View
True, there is considerable uncertainty about the outlook for the UK economy. But trading at seven times forecast earnings and offering a 7 per cent yield, we think the future is unlikely to be quite as dire as suggested by Marston's current rating. Buy.
Last IC View: Buy, 142p, 19 May 2017