Member Info for c2645sg

Blackrock are rarely wrong, they seem to know things others don;t and a great indication of short/medium term strategies.
They are shorting becasue it's a hedge. Own loads of stock long term, and short for an RI, it's a total no-brainer.
When they close, is when I start buying, not before.

I have been doing this 30 years, and Blackrock always knows tings in advance, like court cases etc. They must have insiders everywhere.
Don't fight the big boys....

Volume is still low in the Uk listing.
Monday and the rest of next week is when the fun starts.

Be very careful who you listen to:

onsolidground
Posted in: TUI
Posts: 1,645
Price: 552.00

RE: Resembles a holiday let14 Apr 2023 17:04
The share that keeps on giving.

Another top up opportunity presents itself. :)

All thois topping up in the 540s now look a bit silly.
Wait til next week.... Their margin calls will be coming thick and fast.

Really?
I should desist posting, so you can have a monopoly on rampoing the very share you are losing money on.
You are the last person anyone should listen to.
If you had only listened....
Crack on Mayveonedaysoon, top up time!

@Maybeonedaysoon.
Name me ONE company share price during an RI which DIDN'T hit the offer price.
Many thanks.

@Equality, great post, kudos!
Someone actually willing to crunch the numbers and discuss them rather than the usual suspects telling us their opinion of future sp movements based on absolutely nothing. Its refreshing, well done.

I think your figures look realistic, my calculations were similar.
It all depends on what happens with the recession, imho....

So many people are coming off fixed rate mortgages this year, which means massive cuts to their budget. Discretionary spending will almost definitely take a hit, and holidays are a big part of that.
Everything is more expensive due to inflation (goods and services), but also car loans, mortgages, credit cards etc.
If you add job losses to this, then we really are in trouble.
Interest rates are not done rising yet.

I am a cash buyer for a house right now, and things are not selling, there is a real stand off betwen buyers/sellers. So I am waiting. More stagnation there too.

I reckon recession is nailed on, you can't tame inflation without it.

At least when the TUI RI is past you will have the results in a few weeks and get better updates from the company, and more realistic projections.
Then all you have to decide is if you think a recession will happen or not.

I see 2/3 years of stagflation, maybe more, I think the whole market is a bit toppy and not pricing that in as yet.

But I think there will be a bounce from a low of around £4.70/4.80 ish when the overhang clears. Any sharp drop here will take out stop losses and people will panic. The very people who are on here all day every day telling us it's the bottom, they are the panic sellers for sure. Oterwise they would not post and just sleep easy at night with their investments.

Why don't you do all the homework and share it with us instead?

Why 1.80?

https://shortsell.nl/short/TUI
The highest they have ever been.
Facts always get in the way of a poor ramp ;)

Do you think that is an up to date graph?
Some people just become this insecure confirmation biased liar when they buy a share, and say anything to ramp the price up.

The fact is 2.67 times as many shares will hit the market on Monday 24th. People knee deep in losses expect the price to rise! ;)

The time to buy this is when shorts start unwinding.

Many institutions will be selling immediately, hence tha volatility.
10% instant gain, not to be sniffed at in this market.

Volume is still low on TUI recenbtly, wait until the 24th when that will all change.

Shorting during a RI is obviously the opposite of being long, your position is execerbated with the new shares coming onto the market.
I doubt many will be closing now, £4.94 is the target.

Garry...net debt was 3.5bn, and will be rediced to 2.5bn, more or less.
It's definitely more mangebale, and saves them 80-90m per year in interest payments.
Hope that helps.

Mike, if you look closely at the message I was replying to, why didn't you complain about their language? brick short of a whatever?

Here are the shorts, all time high...
https://shortsell.nl/short/TUI

II investors get whatever they want, PIs like it or lump it.
This is why I've been saying it will get close to the offer price, if not below.

"The New Shares not subscribed for will be offered to qualified institutional investors starting immediately by means of private placements in accordance with applicable securities legislation (the “Rump Placement”).

c. 10%, roughly £180m worth of shares being sold to IIs. I wonder what price they will be offered? We'll soon find out, 4 trading days to go....

Mike, grow up.

You want to hear all the good stuff in your ovely echo chamber and not be realistic/alternative views? You must be correct at all times and never challenged? What's the whole POINT of a free public BB iof not to exchange ideas?

AML hit 89p twice, but you know that, because you obviously checked.
Once after the RI, and then a few weeks later at the results.
So stop framing things to make it look better than it is. Be factual.

TUI has come down from £20 to £5 (rebased), if you think that's a great performance, well done.

We get it, youre invested and want it to go up, some are waiting on the sidelines and see things without confirmation bias.

And regarding the 'sl@gging off', what about everyone who has had a go at me, you don't seem to be telling them to disappear?

No company who is 'on the right track' need to do RIs.
TUI are raising €1.8bn you clown.
AML raised £575m.