RE: bwana1 Oct 2020 13:29
I have initiated a position to start with. Wasarunner asked for insights.The bull case you all know.My concerns and questions are:
-If Vermelho is such a good project why did Vale sell.They mothballed it in 2005 having bought INCO in 2005 and then sold it to us in 2017.Maybe Vale just had too much on their hands, but still strange.
-Corporate broker is Peel Hunt-very second rate, no mining expertise and limited institutional reach in the UK and no reach in USA.Would prefer if corporate broker was Numis or Cannacord.
-Only institution on the register in a significant way is Lombard Odier. The rest is all HL,AJ Bell,II etc which is basically punters like us holding our shares in custody at our retail brokers.With Peel Hunt as broker will be more difficult to institutionalise the register, which would be ideal.However good to see Teck and Glencore on the register-I guess as probable acquirers.
-Why did JPM Asset management sell out?
-Geographic risk obviously.
-Financing risk obviously-although the debt syndicate looks okay would have been better if JPM were the lead.Put project looks very financeable.
-A rights issue is possible if they overrun on costs, but in fairness they look pretty tight.
These are just my concerns incase they help-no barrage of abuse please.As I mentioned I initiated today and will buy more as we go along.
Any views on 5 year price target-if HZM has not been acquired by then.