RE: Go Capita Go16 Jan 2025 17:40
Savage - you need to understand concept of costing. Let me explain you with your example:
In 2015 my income is £3000, and my rent is £1500. - I have £1500 leftover for bills, leisure etc after I've been paid & have subtracted my rent expense...
BB - Agreed
In 2025, ten years later, cumulative inflation has added 25% to my rent costs (outrageous I know right?!)... However, since 2015 my income has unfortunately halved (because the boss went on a mad austerity drive).
BB - Your assumption is that income has decreased but costs have increased which is not the case. Since income has decreased cost associated to generate income such as employee cost, infrastructure costs etc have also reduced though not at same intensity as income.
Present CEO is driving efficiency by reducing cost to first bring it in line with revenue so that margins improve and once it reaches optimal margins (say as in 2015) it will focus on revenue increase. In 2024 though we see decrease in Revenue we see that margins would be around £110 million as compared to previous year loss of £60 million even after one time spend in cost reduction activities. IN my view all intangibles like GW etc. is written-off and therefore there will be no additional impact on future margins
Market sees two factors for increase in SP. Growth in Revenue and growth in margins. Capita has achieved growth in margins and once it shows YOY growth of 15 % in Revenue which I expect it from next year we will see exponential growth in SP