RE: AB Crescent unloaded shares5 Feb 2026 05:24
Damn post message button too close to the keyboard on the phone...
Second paragraph should read...
That said thate are some knowns we can use as yard sticks... costs and flow rate are a little more understood but again should be taken with a wide margin of error.. what we do know is 0.4bcubic feet have been remarked as a resource from the first half of JS1, but how much lateral extent that takes into account is unkown. They would have likely been given 100% of modeled resource within 50m from the drill spot and then decreasing rapidly the further out you go, so nothing (or as little as 1%) would be attributed to the resource number for mapped resource close to the edges of the mapped system/field.
Flow has been detailed from JS1 and has been roughly ballparked to generate circa $15-18m per annum if under production (not including He3) which also includes a bunch of moving variables, topsides for which are likely to cost circa $40-$60m from Chart industries (again not including He3 seperation).
Lastly, we dont know how many producers the system can handle, it has been mentioned 3 or 4, but that number could be 6 or 7 if the field is bigger than expected and flow / pressure rates allow etc... all of which the upcoming flow tests and step out wells will help determine.
One thing we do know is that their mapped resource is being proved correct and their identification methods for mapping are being proved more reliable with each drill and the down hole pressure has been higher the deeper they are drilling (but there is no comparison to JS1, as only top hole pressures have been communicated)
Possible outcomes.. 0.4b will be increasing, likely by a minimum of x10.
At 4 producers we are creating cash at $60m+ per annum, but this is likely to only grow either by extraction speed (better flow rates fro. Higher pressures) or by drilling more producers if the field can handle it.
And we havent even got to He3 yet.
So.. good luck with your investment, we are all awaiting the updated Sprule report in great hope and expectation..
BB3