Credit Suisse19 Mar 2023 23:14
With the latest Domino to fall in this (so far) latest mini global financial crash, the panic merchants and gamblers which dominate worldwide stock and bond markets will ensure more losses appear against just about any entity remotely connected to finance/banking in the coming days/weeks. Needless to say, British Banks will likely not escape irrespective of the perceived capital strength etc.
And that for me really is the 'rub' here. It's not that necessarily, institutions which fail deserve to. Just as a revisit to 2008 would disclose that Enron should have been shored up if, for no other reason, but to protect other institutions which then became casualties.
Today is no different I suspect. I am not privvy to the internal Management Accounts pertaining to the distressed/rescued Banks, but any concerted 'run' on a bank will quickly challenge its (Central Bank) imposed liquidity ratios which in turn quickly push distress toward (credit) ratings and gradings being challenged and then downgraded. In this relatively short time, capital adequacy becomes academic.
Yes, banking IS that fragile if enough shorters/hedge funds and other gamblers set off a wider panic among a Bank's customers (and these can of course include sovereign exposure, other banks etc) and that's before the wonderfully expert media spread their sensationalist headlines.
I believe NWG are as well placed, if not better, than any UK bank from a number of perspectives, so hopefully the 2008 crash is not repeated and the many people who lost jobs/cash/both etc who lost out needlessly will not see a repeat this time around.
Central Banks/Governments have both played significant roles in creating today's banking issues but, as always, these simply provide the gamblers with the chips to play with. The notion of an open, free market is a fallacy.
After that.....let's hope for better days for our investment!