Roundtable Discussion; The Future of Mineral Sands. Watch the video here.
Its that time for Clarkie to pop out and confirm what many of us suspect !!!!!
The devil is in the details on this drill. Hydrocarbons confirmed in all prospects but "how much and how much is liquid".
I remain aware of the risks but the buys are starting to tell the story.
Eco have done a good job with keeping the hole tight ....or have they ?
Oil shows on the way down and information from the lanky, welsh driller are all very positive; however, not unexpected. There has been oil to surface on the prospect before. The real information comes from the wireline logging; again, let's assume this is positive. again, not unexpected. We sidetrack and this is the key. this is why, we see very positive sentiment but not the sp movement heading well north right now.
This drill is a very interesting one - yes, there are hydrocarbons. How much and how much liquid is the question. The answer to that question will be publicly known next week.
Yes, buy the champagne, yes, put it on ice but leave the uncorking until next week.
I thought the answer would be found in Mavericks but I was wrong ..... the answer is known in Edgemead.
Drilling of the Gazania-1 well is well understood from the A-J 1 discovery well which encountered sandstones with fair reservoir quality and porosities between 10-15%. We are now well into this drill. The timing itself is starting to tell the story. A full set of logs are planned on a success case - resistivity, density neutron, sonic, diameter and formation tester. The sidetrack needs a cement plug to be set and a whipstock installed. The sidetrack will also have a full suite of logs run.
Upside potential to the Gazania prospect is the Namaqualand prospect.
Eco are playing their cards close to their chest. I suspect we will not get a RNS for a while yet ……which tells you the story, or at least a part of it.
Well .... here we go ..... off to the races ! Gazania is certainly a high impact well for Eco ! Yes, there has been a discovery on the prospect before and oil flowed to surface .... however, this is far from a done deal and significant geological risk remains.
Personally, I very much like the prospect and the size of the discovery and whether the fluids discovered are hydrocarbon or water are the main risks for me.
40p on spud ....... don't really care. I'll hold for the result - this is going to be high 20's or 75p plus after the news is official.
As ever, news will leak, especially in a country like South Africa. Best sources of news are in Mavericks !
Who would have believed twelve months ago that we would be focusing on Namibia rather than Guyana ?
The farm out is coming and Gazania has a high chance of success (although far from a done deal).
40p+ before spud is likely and then you take your choice to stick or go.
This remains the best multi-bagger play I am aware of. Risks, most definitely, but vast rewards are there for the brave.
Great to read the outcome of the arbitration and the share price increase.
Oil will flow in the Falklands one day !
It’s been a long ride since the days of Oil Brat, Clarkie, Borgo, Marlon Monkey et al.
I’m not invested as I see better returns elsewhere for now. Namibia is the hot spot with multiple drills upcoming.
This dog will have his day, although it will take time.
I am anticipating the Indian award in January.
The market is, as would be expected, not pricing a large percentage of the award into the share price right now.
The director deals are to protect their personal tax positions.
All going to plan in my opinion. Only thing is that it is slower than we would like or expect.
The share price will be north of 225p at the end of January.
News in December likely. Not a good outcome unfortunately.
Strike. 3 zones. Commercial and probably over 500 M bels recoverable.
News late next week.
It’s coming ….
It would seem that several arrivals have occurred.
Nothing’s a done deal until it’s done, but things are looking very positive.
No official news this week.
Indeed, those were the days: chateau rothchild and dancing girls running a mock !!
There may well be short term gains here if OM comes in, but my indicators are that this bad boy is dead in the water.
The fat lady has warmed up and is in the middle of her set.
Here comes the sun, as our old pall used to say !
The chat from Aces is of a very good first innings. The coke is flowing. The original plan remains to go down, down, deeper and down.
I would not expect any official news for a while but the word from Aces is to empty the bottom drawer and buy a few golden tickets.
Let’s see how she swings !
Talk of a monster. Don’t be frightened though ….
Talk of a monster at Saporte.
Nothing to frighten gill though !
Third time lucky .
There is little doubt, bar any world economical craziness, that Cairn is currently a great short term investment.
I’m hoping for a 20% share price increase from here.
Patience will be rewarded !
Dear Sir,
I truly admire your conviction and motivation to help the CEO and Board. There have been very rare occasions of similar shareholder help. I genuinely wish you all the best.
Realism though, must take a place here. No current oil and gas company wants a play in the Falklands. We all know the reasons why.
I truly doubt we will see oil from the Falklands in the next decade. Perhaps never.
It pains me to write this, as I was one of the early RKH investors pre the Desire Liz well. I actually discussed the Shell logs and cores with OilBrat way before Rockhopper’s first well spud. The good old Llandudno days ! Dreams of a new frontier …
Everyone to their own opinion, but in my view Rockhopper is dead in the water, OM result or not.
It’s very sad but that’s life.
Good luck to you. I hope you can make a difference. I can see you have given much time and energy to this.
Sam’s an easy target. I met him a few times. He’s an engaging, friendly chap but unfortunately the job has been beyond his skills set. I have no doubt he is incentizived enough - just look at his shareholding, albeit at 5p a share. It needed a very savvy, commercially minded CEO to get the job done, not a likable chap who had little oil and gas experience.
I for one, under estimated the Argentina shadow. Sealion and to more extent Isabelle are world class fields. The geology is great, reserves plentiful. Yes the location is remote and the water not shallow.
Exxon Guyana could have been Rockhopper Falklands but that is not the case.
The game is up here I am afraid. Goodnight, Au revoir. Alf wiedersehen. .
It’s a case of what might have been.
Here comes the sun !
A very difficult situation.
The Italy award is a must ! I’d expect a short term share price spike on positive news. In reality, any cash received will only cover future costs (the temporary dock decommissioning costs are ominous).
There is no way Rockhopper and Navitas can make sea lion happen alone. They simply don’t have the people or experience to manage a project or operate. Sea lion needs a new partner, but no oil company is interested right now.
Funding will happen, most likely an equity raise with share price dilution.
It’s difficult to believe Rockhopper is in this position. One legged Pete would turn in his grave !!
I never thought I would say it but perhaps oil will not get produced from the Falklands in my lifetime.
It’s basically over, for now at least.
Sad.