Calm or fear ?17 Jun 2026 15:20
Well I have to admit, i did not see the share price being in the 60’s again. Disappointing.
Investors know well the Falklands potential, which is way beyond Sealion alone.
As I understand it, little has changed. Preparations for Sealion Phase 1 and 2 are being advanced. Land preparations and construction on the Falklands are there to see. The Aoka Mizu FPSO will depart Belfast for work in the Far East before deployment in early 2028 at location. The Noble Endeavor rig is in Norway for refit work before deploying to the Falklands at the end of the year. 55,000 barrels of oil will get produced from around Q1 2028. Following multi phases of the development will follow.
The second FPSO for development phases beyond 1 and 2 has always been part of the plan.
I understand Navitas are excited about the potential of PEL001 and adding the possible barrels to an early development phase.
There is a very good working relationship between Navitas and Rockhopper.
Entry of a third partner into Sealion and beyond has been explored for some time with a number of interested parties. Things have gone quiet on this, but I fully expect this to happen.
A buyout of Rockhopper’s is also a distinct possibility. Perhaps before first oil but definitely it will occur.
I don’t believe an equity rise is imminent or likely before first oil.
So what does all this mean ? Rockhopper is way under valued in the 60’s. I would expect at least a double bagger on the share price by first oil. Patience and calmness is required.
Good luck to all long term holders. The journey has been difficult, but the path is not one to wander from just as we see glimpses of first oil approaching !
Here comes the sun !
Shenandoah is also a factor in all of this to some extent. Great cash flow for Navitas and if the other partners sell their equity share to most likely, a major, a valuation rerating of Navitas will occur. If Navitas sell a proportion of their share, they will get an immediate cash injection.