RE: buyback15 Aug 2015 14:33
okinia, I salute you...you are obviously prepared to discuss this point rather than just convince yourself that a buyback is 100% nailed on, like you know who.
There is nobody on this discussion board that would be more delighted if OBT announced a share buyback, it would send out very good signals to the market.
On your first point about why the increase from 10% to 20% authorised, well I don`t disagree with your previous post when you said....
Why the increase? I suspect it has to do with the SP and the amount in £££ terms they are thinking they will use to do a buyback. Last June (when the 26m buyback authorisation was proposed) we were at 12p, so 26m shares would equate to ~ £3m being used for a buyback. Roll forward a year and the SP is closer to 7p. By doubling the amount they buyback they can deploy roughly the same amount of cash in a buyback (£3-4m).
Of course rolling forward a year there has been much water under the bridge, structurally with regard to new people, new plans etc ie the Brazillian contract which is still to be awarded in this quarter and would require a $500,000 outlay should they get it, and financially, for example the sale of the PRG stake.
So quite a bit has changed.
I stick to my point that they will announce a buyback whether they are required to by FSA rules or not, purely because it would be pointless not to. The idea of a buyback is to use excess funds to prop up the sp, the opposite of dilution. So why in the world would they not want to make sure the market knows about it?
Can anybody give a good reason why, for the price of issuing an RNS, they would choose to stay quiet about it...anybody??