Valuation26 May 2022 09:26
Are you trying to be deliberately obtuse in valuation.
Revenue is the metric for the industry. Fortunately Audioboom is also profitable but no other company in media is valued on earnings!
So why do so -because you want to choose a meaningless misinterpreted value.
FinnCap summary
Audioboom record Q1 results and strong FY21 results in April, yesterday’s trading update confirms that its excellent momentum has continued into April. Revenue for the month has organically grown +86% yoy to $7.1m, as its direct premium advertising business (c65% of revenue) is continuing to benefit from robust pricing, with its average global revenue per 1,000 downloads (eCPM) increasing to $53.9 from $50.5 in Q1 22, and robust volumes, with a new record for global monthly downloads of 131.9m vs 126.2m in Q1 22. Including investment to further differentiate its content and platform, April adjusted EBITDA has grown to $0.5m from $0.05m in April 21, and it has now generated $1.3m of adjusted EBITDA in the seasonally weakest four months of the year vs our FY22 forecast of $4.0m. Excellent management of working capital has then delivered an increase in April net cash to $4.4m from $3.3m at Q1 22. After upgrading FY22 and FY23 revenue by +6-7% and upgrading FY22 and FY23 adjusted EBITDA by +32% at the trading update on 10 January, we conservatively leave our forecasts unchanged at this point, as management is working through the renewal of key content partnerships. It has already delivered numerous successful renewals in Q1 22, and as Audioboom continues to scale its platform and builds out its strategically valuable original content, it is developing its attractiveness in a very active podcast M&A market, with acquisitions at 4-10x EV/Sales by mega-cap tech and audio tech peers. We reiterate our price target of 2,250p or 5x FY23 EV/Sales, and we look forward to it demonstrating strong operating momentum at its Q2 22 trading update in July, announcing material new podcast wins and renewals, and the group potentially benefitting from an attractive approach to acquire Audioboom.
- Audioboom’s investment case –