RE: Clever fellow from advfn16 Dec 2020 14:18
Ok, ok, the 'clever fella' is moi. I am now more convinced that we do have some minor funny business going on in the market around the open offer, which will come to an abrupt end on or around a week from today....Anyway, in response to another poster for further clarification on this possible 'artificial' selling, I responded with the following: '...Like I said, there is a somewhat defendable rationale for small legacy holders to sell the amount they can get in the open offer at any price higher than 175p and lock in that 'profit' by taking up their allocation (there is one other possible side to all this: some of these same holders and some clever clogs, may well have attempted to 'oversell' their allocation; ie., sell more shares than they are technically entitled to apply for in the open offer - effectively going short for a week or so - in the hope that everyone will NOT take up the offer and so they would be able to over-apply and get more than their initial allocation. This then gets into headache territory if - as has almost occurred - that selling pushes the market price down near, or even below, the 175p issue price where even more legacy holders may decide NOT to apply. The headache comes by trying to figure out whether the selling is mostly inocent activity or something a bit more sinister. This all may seem a bit technical but it is a very common strategy among hedge funds and other sharpish traders. It can cause short-term disruption, but its all part of the game). That relatively minor 'arbitrage-style' selling should have been more than made up by professional buyers who understand however, that that small selling pressure is (very) temporary and the sector - and the company - remain on fire, and paying 170/180/190 makes no difference long-term. For some reason unfortunately, the market decided to obsess over the 23rd and effectively wait until it is done and dusted before getting involved. In my mind, that is no longer the case as equally sharp shareholders have been woken up to the situation. We'll see...'