CPR contingencies7 Jul 2025 08:55
It would be great to see the CPR. The well profiling validates the company’s own modelling from the EWT at Itumbula, with 2C estimates that might represent very roughly $1m per year per well, gross of recovery costs. With a development plan for 30+ wells over 30+ years that looks very promising.
But it would be good to understand more about the ‘Contingencies’ identified by the CPR to explain their classification of ‘Development on hold’. This could be as simple as pending the award of a mining licence (any day now), or a route to market (off taker?), or as complex as developing new processing technologies. So there’s quite a wide range. To recap…
Contingent Resources:
These are quantities of gas estimated as recoverable from known accumulations, but their development is currently not commercial due to various contingencies.
Development on Hold:
This sub-classification indicates the project has the potential for commercial development, but development is delayed due to factors outside the developer's control.
Examples of Contingencies:
These can include things like regulatory approvals, political or economic uncertainties, securing a license to operate, or ensuring market access.
Progression:
Projects categorized as ‘Development on Hold’ can move towards ‘Development Pending’ or to proven ‘Reserves’ once the contingencies are resolved and the project becomes commercially viable.