RE: News soon6 Nov 2024 11:46
Delusional? You might want to take a look in the last H1 accounts and the past history of this company as to a clue if this farmout will ever happen. I'm pretty confident it won't. They are banking on several things happening to keep them from needing to raise. Anyone who says they are fully funded is wrong as they haven't received any money from Egypt yet, as it hasn't been fully approved.
"Completion of this withdrawal remains contingent on obtaining formal approvals from the Egyptian General Petroleum Corporation ("EGPC") and the Minister for the Deed of Assignment which should be received in due course."
And this is from the H1 accounts. I don't expect these rampers to read any of this though or look at the history of the company. Whether Brian has done what he promised (he hasn't by the way), if they have already stated they are close to a farmout several times over the years but nothing has materialised.
"The key assumptions and related sensitivities include a "Reasonable Worst Case" ("RWC") sensitivity where the Board has considered a scenario with significant aggregated downside, including a delay in the farmout, subject to different terms and conditions than budgeted, no exercise of warrants, delay in receiving outstanding receivables and an equity raise.
Under the combined RWC, the Group forecasts there will be sufficient resources to continue in operational existence for the foreseeable future. The various assumptions considered were:
a. Timing of receivables from Egyptian General Petroleum Corporation
b. Securing a Jamaica farmout with reimbursement of back costs
c. No Jamaica Farmout in the period
d. Exercise of the Warrants in December 2024
e. No Exercise of Warrants
The likelihood of all the downside sensitivities occurring simultaneously is unlikely. Under such a RWC scenario, we have identified suitable mitigating actions, including deferring capital expenditure, adjusting the Group's cost base, and potentially undertaking an equity raise, which would be subject to market conditions and is not guaranteed to succeed. However, based on past experience, the Directors believe that an equity raise is likely to be successful."