RE: All aboard the Sky Lark13 Dec 2021 23:04
Another point to consider. The speculation we are being given on the doubling of numbers every day or so. And this is being sold as a runaway exponential rise.
Except it the physical real world it can't be. Basically you require people to be constantly meeting up and constantly in communication with the disease as expressed by carriers. People do not mingle to that extent. Certainly you will get clusters of people, and the spread within the cluster high and fast. But those people are not as likely to then go to another cluster, and then another. There are breaks in chain, in fact many breaks. It is why the first and second waves didn't enter into the apocalyptic levels expected. Superspreaders are by far the worst problem and that is mainly down to the masks because they leave contamination for some hours on whatever they touch. So there will be a rapid increase in numbers and there will be a knee jerk panic response with lockdowns, but it will reach a maximum spread potential where the physical mixing of people will mean, irrespective of lockdowns, a maximum daily rate will be met and that will then drop off purely because those contact groups gain natural immunity assisted in many cases with their vaccination. The masks will hasten the peak, it is an identical repeat of what has happened before, no lessons have been learned, but it will this time be far faster, very much less severe. But all signs are nothing is being learned so there is potential for more of these cycles to continue. Until the peasants get the pitchforks and bunsen torches out and overthrow somebody.
WOW fit doctor being interviewed on Newsnight - wow, living doll.....