Member Info for big-blue

https://en.hromadske.ua/posts/crimean-bridge-documentation-leaked-russian-hackers-eliminated-last-nights-highlights

We've been waiting for the Crimea bridge to be attacked, I like the way this information is being waved around in public. They attack is imminent and will be a method that fools Russia defenses. I suspect the islands will be hit first and whilst the track is being repaired and defensive assets taken off line to allow that, then spans over water will be attacked and destroyed.

What exactly has Ukraine done wrong to warrant such naked child murdering aggression? What?

https://www.19fortyfive.com/2022/06/the-russian-army-is-taking-massive-losses-in-eastern-ukraine/

How long before Russian generals throw the towel in? They know what is coming, even if the German/French axis dragged their heels a bit, but the day of reckoning is coming. Nato trained Ukrainians with access to nato kit. Countdown the days on one hand or two?

https://english.alarabiya.net/News/world/2022/06/16/Russia-and-China-give-differing-accounts-of-Putin-Xi-phone-call-

Moscow and Beijing not even coordinating public statements. That will sting with Putin. After the clear and unequivocal messages today that Ukraine will not be pushed into ceding any land, clear enough for even some people on this BB to understand [I], it is down to the Russian generals on the battlefield to pull the war and retreat. Otherwise it is clear the holding back of heavy weapons will not continue and Ukraine is going to be armed and allowed to defend itself.

"anyone who denies climate change loses any credibility"

As with religion, hammer the belief hard enough and long enough and people absorb it. Temperature change on earth precedes co2 change, it is well evidenced. The short time span in history that people have been looking at climate in detail is nothing more than a blip of noisy data as many, many are demonstrating. The atmosphere has 0.04% co2, this is a vanishingly small amount, a trace gas. By any fiddling of numbers the temperature contribution to Earth's overall temperature is almost too small to measure. Doubling or even trebling the co2 will have no measurable effect. Earth has a large tilt to the sun, and various wobbles around the axis on top of that. That is why the earth goes through cycles of climate change, man has no effect.

And the most basic element is, if we could increase an entire planets co2 level, it would immediately be absorbed by an increase in photosynthesis.

It is a good indication of the kind of journals and media you are exposed to if you call people 'deniers' because they question, on a very professional basis, claims put to them. There is way to much money and political posturing involved for a objective discussion about some basic realities in this subject.

As havoc points out, the cost of panels that last properly is far higher than the sales pitch intimates. You don't install these panels to save money as many will now testify. And the issue of people taking their panels with them leaving weakend roof structures is a point the surveyor will make and whether the roof is compliant with building standards and has to be reinforced or replaced. I've know estate agents drop house prices because there are panels on the roof. Most roofs in the UK were never designed to carry the panel dead weight nor resist a panel being pulled up up strong winds.

People are fooled into thinking CO2 is an issue, if they spend tens of thousands on solar panels they will be doing their bit to reduce CO2 when in fact the carbon budget is positive and will always be positive as performance declines as the lattice dislocations extend naturally as the brittle silicon panels experience significant temperature gradients over the year. You might be able to 'sell' to a naive buyer that a house is worth more with panels, but most buyers are much more savvy. Look at any of the new builds anywhere in the country that work very hard to sell these things pre-build. It is a very hard sell and most simply don't want them even built in to a roof.

"It would really start to have an effect on consumption and co2."

Covering every roof in the UK with panels would have no measurable effect. We are too are north for a start and the CO2 generated in the production, transportation, installation maintenance would never be offset in reduced use of fossil fuels

"government should be forcing every new build, to include solar and heat pumps etc.
plus every time a council house gets refurbed they should be doing the same"

We are already hammered for hundreds of pounds in green levies on our fuel bills. We would have to load yet more green levies increasing bills to pay for your scheme. I think you will find a lobby to drop all green levies is gathering pace. Keep up.

Cost of solar panels v what you save paying for lecky or even any pay back from supplying the grid? You are a long, long, long way from 'free' hot water. And don't forget to price in all the kit, wiring, building works and clean up. Then there is the drop in house value as the roof structure has been compromised and is a higher storm collapse risk with higher insurance premiums. And then there is the maintenance with at least a twice annual clean and resealing. A house near hd panels put up but don't clean them and it i remarkable how quickly the glass goes dirty, condensation gets inside and the sealant starts to bulge. Like small domestic wind turbines, the maintenance costs alone don't make them economically viable and it is long overdue the advertising standards authority prosecuting the completely unrealistic claims.

And we have the trolling simply because I give an honest opinion on poly's future rather than ramping the hell out of it. That trolling speaks volumes about how irrational your expectations are. £4.50 following a split and sale would dole my money, excluding any divvies, so I'm not sure how that is a bad thing for me to be expecting. If you think rampesting this duck is going to fix things you are deluded as much as the rest of the day dreamers.

I keep hearing triumphalist broadcasts claiming half is wind. Even if it was 25%, with nuclear the tariff should not be so high, we get a fair chunk of our gas from the North sea or import from the Norwegian fields. We should be shielded to some extent from global prices. And if only we had gone ahead with shale gas, we need to learn lessons not to be held to ransom by minor agitator groups.

"I do hope one positive outcome is accelerating green energy and sustainability that becomes more economically viable in a high energy cost environment."

Really? Europe has been carpet bombed with turbines and solar cells yet there is zero respite on household energy bills. UK is supposed to be receiving more than half of its electricity from wind power. Why then have lecky prices gone off the scale? Renewables is was and will always be a con! The current energy price prove it.

Russian/Chinese new world order with everything american and western excluded which is what Putin has promised everyone. It is Putin's stated imperial world domination. Sure for the moment many will milk what is the tank as much they can, but the tank will quickly run dry and Russia will not be able to continue buying countries.

"Once the conflict is over and suitable change of leader in place the gas will flow and the oil too"
Again, completely delusional. Some here just do not want to accept a thumping big reality of this new world order. The oil and gas will not be flowing again. It is not a temporary hiatus in economic and diplomatic relations. Germany and europe were led down a blind alley of reliance and have been completely humiliated. Some of you go o about not humiliating people because they might bite back. That runs two ways and the exclusion of Russia in sanctioned and non-sanctioned ways continues and will last for many years, getting in to decades. And as Russia collapses, other GLOBAL investments will move to protect their assets and the economic withdrawal from Russia will continue. The future or Russia is one of extreme hardship and poverty, they will be poorer than India and in a much more dependant state within just five years.

The BOD will be factoring in the economic future for Russian which is why I am certain they will split, disposse of anything Russian and seek new mines outside Russia.

Still delusional. RISK is the factor, the fundamentals of the company are second in every respect. Anybody expecting rebounds to £10 levels just have no knowledge how investment markets work. Russia's actions and continuing actions in various ways continue to increase risk, which is amplified by the Russian territory connection. The markets value including risk is setting it back to the initial drop. Fundamentals mean nothing if the company cannot get the infamous divvie payment to shareholders.

The split is now a certainty to off load the toxic Russian assets, all Russian assets are going to be toxic for many, many years to come and many Russian assets are going to be worthless and for Russians too. THEN, and only then when the risk is reduced will the fundamentals become more important. But the longer the delay in any new information on how the split and disposal of Russian assets is to go, the higher the risk and therefore the sp is leant on.

"The "Peace" camp, which is people who want a deal done just to get peace gets 33% of Europeans support.

The "Justice" camp, who want to punish Russia get 22% of the vote.
Make of it what you will."

Democracy, in Europe? Opinion polls in the EU are as reliable as those coming out of Russia. It is a sad state of affairs when people in the EU feel obliged to parrot the narrative, although not as heavy handed as Russia, there is a big 'yet' hanging over that. Countries that step out of line and ostracized sharpley, regions demonised and EU funded projects suddenly run dry of money. The apeasenicks will not be happy with only browbeating 33% to oppose Ukraine so I Europeans across the continent will be subjected to more propaganda no doubt.

This is reality, it is a soviet EU with no democratic foundation and commission that expects to direct the community and the community to follow without question. Descent in Europe is increasingly not tolerated.

only 155 trades. The holders on the flash crash gone and only a few pence depleted overall.

A couple of people have popped u here trying to flog bitcoins, some even suggesting Russia and friends will switch to them creating a new world order.

Ya, OK, I called bitcoin fools gold and tis is being borne out again. If there was any switching to fools gold by Russians or Russian to evade sanctions, then they deserve all that they are getting - hammered.

I expect that if poly had gone down the fools gold route some form of NS would have been made so I don't think the crash of bitcoin directly affects bitcoin.

"holding back a nice sell order and placing it when some nice big buy orders are on the book"

mm don't 'hold it back', they look for a buy of the same price which becomes difficult with low volume. The obligation of the mm is to effectively buy the shares within a price band and hold them in treasury until a buyer appears. The mm can change their sell price to compensate for the risk. Conversely they can sell phantom shares to a buyer and wait for a seller to replace those shares. The spread set by the mm is designed to tept sellers and buyers and the mm manipulates that to cover their backs. It is how the market is kept liquid.

Yesterday as the mm tried to sell the shares it had taken in treasury they dropped their sell price keeping it above the price they paid for the shares. The organized sell off kept pushing the mm to push the differential lower and lower into stop loss zones. Broker released shares for sale, mm dropped their buy price more sharply as they were obliged to buy, triggering more stop losses, forcing the mm buy the stock much lower - in effect a run. Meanwhile the buy price for the market starts to look attractive and gobble gobble gobble, it is quite likely on buy was triggered and the mm cleared out all it's treasury and the market price was back to where it was before. A number of pis would have found their stop loss was triggered, maybe sold at 20% below what they had set due to the negotiated order methodology and are now out of pocket with no shares and have to shell out a lot more to rebuild their position.
For the shorter, the shock drop in this instance probably only earned them a small mark up with precision timing ien the spread, the spread bet syndicate again only made money with precision timing. The short time scale and rapid restoration indicates there were substantial buy orders which checked the shock drop early, and there are probably many more waiting.

it is not and never was mm activity. Those who were selling up are long gone, the rest are sitting on shares now and as demonstrated yesterday are simply not moving.

Some people, typically penny aim traders, attribute all sorts of market movements on m playing some sort of clever clever tricks. This ends to happen more on low volumes hen mm either end up with treasury shares or have to issue phantom shares and then use standard algorithms to balance the books on the number of actual shares in circulation. Other actors work to trip the system to behave in their favour such as the recent shock drop. We may yet see the opposite of this, and very soon, where there is a shock rise. That trap is suckerng pis into high prices that are not sustained and end up selling at a loss. If you have shares before the spike and sell early in the spike, you profit well and buy back cheap. I suspect that's what a lot are waiting for here - sudden jump into the upper 300s perhaps, maybe 375 sell?? buy back at 260??? Settled sp based on risk later at £4.50?

Flash crash organized as was the few earlier in the year. There has been a slow accumulation from very low volume over the last month or so. Another attempt to line the pockets of some shorter or spread bet syndicate. Of note, the speed the dump was vacuumed up with, it appears, nobody panic selling. unlikely the stock will be targeted again. Far too long to accumulate for an unresponsive lot of holders. Mine are available for £7.89 each.