Dark clouds or a rainbow, depending on your opinion2 Oct 2025 14:18
The agreement the Mittal brothers have signed not to bid for BT without BoD agreement appears to be open-ended. The board could agree at any time. For example, if the shares dip at the next financial results in November.
The “relationship agreement” Bharti Global signed with the BT board is not a hard block on a takeover. It’s a conditional restraint, meaning Bharti (and by extension, the Mittal brothers) cannot make a bid unless the board agrees. But that agreement could be granted at any time, especially if circumstances shift.
What could trigger a shift? 1. A sharp post-November dip in the BT share price. 2. Continued stagnation in revenue and EPS. 3. Pressure from other shareholders seeking value realisation. 4. Bharti increasing its stake beyond 25%. In short, while a takeover isn’t imminent, the setup is quietly in place. If the BT share price does indeed stumble next month, the board may well find a Bharti offer more attractive than the status quo.
Other points to ponder: The top strategic guy from Deutsche Telekom is already in place, signalling a partnership with Germany's largest telco (12%+ stake in BT). Mittal has already rolled back the current CEO's policy of dropping the BT brand. It's now BT for everything. BT's business and vision-restricting DEI policy, also instigated by the current CEO, has not been the runaway success promised; in fact, it has led to a weaker, less-talented workforce.