RE: Can’t work this out8 Mar 2023 08:59
Greetings fellow investors,
I did promise not to post till a company RNS which was in fact yesterday. However I was given the minimum 1 trading day ban and my post removed following an uncontested complaint from Toyin, which I believe is standard in marginal uncontested cases. That expired at 8AM this morning, and is now water under the bridge.
However what is not water under the bridge is some of the comments from yesterdays RNS, and my decision to start reducing my holdings.
Firstly some background.. Its no secret that I'm not overly happy with company growth performance to date, some have called yesterdays RNS "underwhelming".
Reel back to this time last year when we were informed that 1.2M sales were going to be left on the table (until June 2022) , as in discussions with a major player... I was sceptical then, that it was just an excuse to make up for a Launch flop after a sales hype ("pre-subcription numbers going up at an alarming rate")..How many??
However I gave them the benefit of a lot of doubt, also believing "Croda income will start end of 2022". Another failure, albeit with plausible excuses. Also hoped that the decision to go with a major player was from approaches, not just scale of margin surrender if signed a USA deal.
A trusted poster made me think a "distribution deal was in the bag" in Dec, and the reason I've held this long.
Clearly Mr.Market is in full agreement. With Spanish online sales some may fear sluggish growth there as well without a major deal or big distribution company promoting our products. UK and USA are two classic examples and we had influencers and supporting video for that.
Now we have in the RNS yesterday. " A successful launch in this new market also provides additional evidence to support ongoing discussion with potential partners."
So says to me, two things... Firstly they approached a larger company just to be told "just a one trick pony, come back when more established product line", and secondly "potential partners", so a year on and no deal anywhere near.
Throw in a good slanging match and the straw breaks the Camels back, so in a way I'm pleased, as decided to reduce holding.
Inflation running close to 10%, and many great FTSE 350 stocks offering up to 9% divi which is isa protected along with small but modest capitol growth, gives a great supplementary income stream.
I also have some serious doubts about Croda which I'll post on a separate post.
For me time is important as inflation ravages holdings that give zero returns , and I'm also overweight here at 10K /penny rise, so actually pleased to see the buying since Dec which has given me a 30% uplift. Indeed will keep a core holding, which is well underwater, but I did buy a lot sub and circa 20p so not too bad.
However only 100k odd of yesterdays sells were mine, clearly others think the same.
Best of luck to all us investors here.