RE: 18.02 GBX +7.14 (65.67%)past month28 Oct 2024 13:39
Hi Dustbin,
I'm hoping with you for decent sales, and some solid royalties. One thing I do struggle with is that Croda have a long list of company acquisitions couple with a very respectable remaining war chest. Our company portfolio would sit nicely with them and our market cap although growing nicely is still small in the scheme of things.
So if I was on the Croda board discussing the way forward, one of the first things I'd be asking is whether we could produce something similar ourselves, the second thing if that looked really difficult (and more probably time consuming), is just how much of our sales we were likely to have to pay in royalties going forward, and would a buyout be cheaper in the long run.
I would have probably started looking for a copycat a while back regardless, just keep the info in house but try to delay our production a bit, to prevent our market cap from rising that much. But if no easy substitute found and it appeared royalties might be high I'd start looking at the second option.
So I don't believe a Croda T/over is off the table, if Crodas customers really want our product, and they havn't got a substitute this will swing the pendulum back towards takeover.