Wrong side of the Trade - been there - Not now16 Jun 2022 15:17
I couldn't short HBR, when POO $120 high Nat gas - tolmount producing great fundamentals and think it could fall +30% , even with WT.,
So, I, like a few have had a kicking last 2 months, however I've kept my powder dry waiting for a turning point, IMO we have it. It's not nice facing the upslope and over exposed to the wrong side of the trade. It make take time but HBR will be set on a recovery path here back through £5.40 and onward to +£6.50 by H1 - 2 months.
Q1 revenue $1.50bn, Q2 with tol at least $1.9bn $2bn with brent $120, now with THE NEW - Nat Gas shock H2 must be $3.8bn(maint'ce gaps) = or +$7.2-7.5bn FY huge Gross margin +55-58% and EBITDA - Can't see better value anywhere, GIC has given us a gift and when gone this will flip 20% in no time, it shouldn't be here anyway.
The share BB puts a floor under this SP and now the WT issue has been cleared up by inference - we are good to go Houston.